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The Battle That Clinton Didn't Expect
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hillarynews
Joined: 24 Jan 2007
Posts: 2255
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 Posted: Wed Mar 05, 2008 3:01 am Post subject: The Battle That Clinton Didn't Expect |
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 The Battle That Clinton Didn't Expect
By E. J. Dionne Jr., Washington PostSo how did the contest for the Democratic presidential nomination come down to a choice between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton? We have become so accustomed to their pounding each other relentlessly that we've forgotten that this is a remarkable endgame.
Category: Commentary
By E. J. Dionne Jr., Washington PostSo how did the contest for the Democratic presidential nomination come down to a choice between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton? We have become so accustomed to their pounding each other relentlessly that we've forgotten that this is a remarkable endgame.To be sure, just about everyone anticipated that when the field narrowed, Clinton would be one of the contenders left standing. She had won allies from her work for her husband and in the Senate, was helped by the residual affection for Bill Clinton in many parts of the party, and created a support base among women.But the scenario-builders pondering this contest two years ago imagined a showdown between Clinton and -- let's be honest -- a white guy. It was thought that a moderate Democrat (popular choices included Mark Warner of Virginia and Evan Bayh of Indiana) would cast himself as the "electable" alternative to the "divisive" Clinton.Alternatively, John Edwards had the chance to go at Clinton from her left (he'd run against "Clintonomics" as the pro-labor, mill-town-born populist) and from her right (he was, after all, a Southern white man).Obama upended all these calculations. Warner and Bayh understood how much the race had changed and decided not to run. Obama bested Edwards in Iowa, effectively blocking Edwards's only path to contention.Against anyone but Obama, Clinton could have counted on strong support from African Americans. Against an Adlai Stevenson-Gary Hart-Paul Tsongas-Bill Bradley sort of reformer, she would have assembled the "regular" Democratic coalition: blue-collar whites allied with black voters. This is, more or less, how Walter Mondale, Bill Clinton and Al Gore prevailed in the primaries. Against a centrist, Clinton would have won the liberals. Her strength among women would have provided her with additional ballast.
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Source: The Hillary Project
Description: reporting the news about Hillary that the media refuses to |
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