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"(W)e need to disarm Saddam Hussein. He is a brutal, murderous dictator, leading an oppressive regime. We all know the litany of his offenses. He presents a particularly grievous threat because he is so consistently prone to miscalculation. ...And now he is miscalculating America s response to his continued deceit and his consistent grasp for weapons of mass destruction. That is why the world, through the United Nations Security Council, has spoken with one voice, demanding that Iraq disclose its weapons programs and disarm. So the threat of Saddam Hussein with weapons of mass destruction is real, but it is not new. It has been with us since the end of the Persian Gulf War." -- John Kerry, Jan 23, 2003
Math not promising for Clinton
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hillarynews
Joined: 24 Jan 2007 Posts: 2255
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Posted: Tue Apr 29, 2008 1:00 pm Post subject: Math not promising for Clinton |
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Math not promising for Clinton
By: Susan FerrechioExaminer - Hillary Clinton may have beaten Barack Obama in the Pennsylvania primary, but it increasingly appears that she can’t beat the political math in the race for pledged delegates.If current polling data in Indiana and North Carolina hold true for those May 6 contests, Clinton would have to capture 80 percent of the vote in the six subsequent primaries to surpass Obama in the hard delegate count.
Category: Top Story
By: Susan FerrechioExaminer - Hillary Clinton may have beaten Barack Obama in the Pennsylvania primary, but it increasingly appears that she can’t beat the political math in the race for pledged delegates.If current polling data in Indiana and North Carolina hold true for those May 6 contests, Clinton would have to capture 80 percent of the vote in the six subsequent primaries to surpass Obama in the hard delegate count. Averages posted by the political Web site RealClearPolitics give Obama more than a 15-point advantage in North Carolina and a three-point lead in the Hoosier State. A slightly less rosy outlook for Obama in those two states would require Clinton’s percentage for the rest of May and June to jump to 70 percent.Even under a worst-case scenario for Obama, such as one in which he were to lose in North Carolina by two percentage points and Indiana by nine points, close to the margin he lost Pennsylvania by, Clinton would barely dent his current lead of 156 pledged delegates. She could only get ahead of him by garnering 68 percent of the vote in every remaining contest, something she has done once this entire primary season, and that was in her former home state of Arkansas.“That’s just not realistic, given the demographics of these states,” said veteran Democratic strategist Tad Devine, who is not connected with either candidate.
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Source: The Hillary Project
Description: reporting the news about Hillary that the media refuses to |
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