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Hillary MUST capture 80% of votes in ALL remaining states
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hillarynews
Joined: 24 Jan 2007
Posts: 2255
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 Posted: Wed Apr 30, 2008 1:00 pm Post subject: Hillary MUST capture 80% of votes in ALL remaining states |
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 Hillary MUST capture 80% of votes in ALL remaining states to surpass Obama
By: Susan FerrechioExaminer - Hillary Clinton may have beaten Barack Obama in the Pennsylvania primary, but it increasingly appears that she can’t beat the political math in the race for pledged delegates.If current polling data in Indiana and North Carolina hold true for those May 6 contests, Clinton would have to capture 80 percent of the vote in the six subsequent primaries to surpass Obama in the hard delegate count.
Category: Spotlight
By: Susan FerrechioExaminer - Hillary Clinton may have beaten Barack Obama in the Pennsylvania primary, but it increasingly appears that she can’t beat the political math in the race for pledged delegates.If current polling data in Indiana and North Carolina hold true for those May 6 contests, Clinton would have to capture 80 percent of the vote in the six subsequent primaries to surpass Obama in the hard delegate count. Averages posted by the political Web site RealClearPolitics give Obama more than a 15-point advantage in North Carolina and a three-point lead in the Hoosier State. A slightly less rosy outlook for Obama in those two states would require Clinton’s percentage for the rest of May and June to jump to 70 percent.Even under a worst-case scenario for Obama, such as one in which he were to lose in North Carolina by two percentage points and Indiana by nine points, close to the margin he lost Pennsylvania by, Clinton would barely dent his current lead of 156 pledged delegates. She could only get ahead of him by garnering 68 percent of the vote in every remaining contest, something she has done once this entire primary season, and that was in her former home state of Arkansas.“That’s just not realistic, given the demographics of these states,” said veteran Democratic strategist Tad Devine, who is not connected with either candidate.
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Source: The Hillary Project
Description: reporting the news about Hillary that the media refuses to |
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